Alexander Schachter
Nov 18, 2013
Recommended Documentary: The Midas Formula: Trillion Dollar Bet
"The history behind perhaps the greatest formula ever created in finance: the Black-Scholes-Merton options pricing model. Two of its creators were awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1997. A year later their hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) had collapsed with staggering losses of $100 billion due to significant leverage of the strategy."
Alexander Schachter
Alexander Schachter
Nov 17, 2013
Recommended Documentary: The Wall Street Code
Alexander Schachter
Nov 16, 2013
Recommended Documentary: Money & Speed: Inside the Black Box
"A thriller based on actual events that takes you to the heart of our automated financial world. Based on interviews with those directly involved and data visualizations up to the millisecond, it reconstructs the fastest and deepest U.S. stock market plunge ever." VPRO DIGITAAL
Alexander Schachter
Oct 21, 2013
If the resolution does not show up well, watch on Youtube:
I also posted each individual chart of my watchlist in the previous post.
Oct 20, 2013
Sep 29, 2013
Sep 8, 2013
$CPRT DAILY
$CPRT DAILY ZOOM
$VCI DAILY
$CODI DAILY
note: wp=weak pivot mp=medium pivot sp=strong pivot
Alexander Schachter
Alexander Schachter
Aug 29, 2013
Here is an interesting chart I created.
DAILY CHART
DAILY OVERVIEW
Applied Materials, Inc. (1.10%) is
currently trading very close to a notable support around $15 that has been tested
again in the past few days. Is very probable that $AMAC will see a trend
reversal in the upcoming weeks if the support holds strong, otherwise, I would
place a tight stop order right below 14.90.
The importance of the $15 dollar mark for $AMAC relies on seven
main events:
(1)
Testing
10-month ascending trend line
(2)
Testing 4-month horizontal trend line
(3)
Testing most significant Probability Cone support
(4)
Testing short-term Regression Channel lower
descending line(red)
(5)
Trading at 25% Retracement from 11/16/12 bottom
(6)
Oversold RSI
(7)
Bullish secondary trend with higher highs & higher
lows
Some events to be aware of:
(1)
$AMAT trading below 20-50sma in daily time frame
(2)
MACD still below divergence line & signal
line still bearish
Alexander Schachter
Jul 1, 2013
Here is an interesting chart I created.
$LINC shares have slumped about 18 percent after the
for-profit education company announced on June 20th it will be
closing 5 of its 38 campuses in order to augment the company’s financial.
I will solely emphasize on a daily time frame, identifying various S&R levels that could be
very profitable if executed with a proper strategy and risk management. I am
going to start off by covering the first enclosed image that basically focuses on
three main events:
(1) The stock saw a breakout below a 7-month ascending trendline.
(2) $LINC has built a decent price action along a Fibonacci
retracement setup; my next price target is around the 25 percent line ($5.00).
(3) Another simple strategy that should not be overlooked is
the Slow Stochastic oversold/bought levels; this accompanied with price
reaching a major support/resistance, might
indicate a possible trend reversal.
In the second image I highlight a graphical forecast of a
probability cone I placed from June 2012. Basically, it indicates a set of
probable future price ranges which $LINC might
encounter. The forecast has proven itself in numerous occasions,
validating my price target mentioned before around the lower blue line; proximate
to the $5 dollar mark.
Alexander Schachter
Jun 9, 2013
Here is an interesting chart I created.
MONTHLY CHART
DAILY CHART
Hewlett Packard seems to be on the verge of a possible
turnaround after reaching a major lower support that was tested back in 2002;
being a level which $HPQ concluded the aftermath of the dot-com bubble’s burst.
$HPQ chart indicates the stock being on an uptrend following a series of higher
highs and higher lows since it hit grounds back in late 2012. I think $HPQ might see a much stronger accumulation
in the mid-term, given the fact it broke a lower channel extension that has
served as a trend reversal S&R for about 5 years. At this point we should
look further onto the $25.50~26.00 dollar mark, being the next most eminent resistance for $HPQ. The Volume by Price indicator
reflects the volume of a specific price range. A large Volume by Price bar
suggests a strong historical interest for the security at a given price range;
it should be seen as a possible
resistance in this case. If a breakout follows through, the price target would
be $28.50, subsequently following $30.00
- $33.00 - $37.50
and so on; considering a best-case scenario. $HPQ is still more than 54% down from 07’ and
10’ double top peaks, making room for great returns if the turnaround gains
momentum and the company regains market share.
If interested
on a nice analysis about the company’s fundamentals, I recommend this article: http://seekingalpha.com/article/1485451-hewlett-packard-is-this-a-turnaround
Alexander Schachter
Jun 6, 2013
May 15, 2013
Here is an interesting chart I created.
DAILY DOT CHART
DAILY CANDLE CHART
60MIN CHART
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. reported a first quarter EPS of
-0.13, well above (25.77%) the consensus estimate of -0.18. $AMD stock price has
been experiencing strong accumulation after the company announcing that new
servers will be launching on its technology at a much cheaper price. Current
trend for $AMD appears to be very bullish with a strong potential of reaching
the upper channel extension in the mid term.
I am going to start off by covering the first image (Daily Dot Chart). I changed the price settings to a Dot graph because I want to make
evident past gaps that are significantly important for the forthcoming price
action. Gaps most of the times serve as very strong S&R levels, also they
tend to repeat themselves close to where they occurred in the past; so after
$AMD breaks the $4.30 support, we could see a large gap in the next opening or
so.
Important levels to pay close attention are around:
$5.50—$5.30—$4.80—$4.30—$4.00.
I bought shares at 4.06 after breaking above the $4 support,
closing the day about 5.8% up. Personally I discovered $AMD a bit late, not
being able to buy right above the lower channel extension, however I think
there is still immense opportunities of profit at current levels. $AMD shows a
Volume by Price with strong support around the $5.30—$5.50 level; notice that
it is one of the lenghiest bars in the graph. If we get to see a breakout above
that Volume by Price bar, one could predict higher prices, eventually reaching
the upper channel extension.
Other events to consider: MACD is bullish; RSI is
overbought, not meaning there is going to be a reversal, though a soft
consolidation might soon originate.
The second image is based on a 60min time frame. $AMD
appears to have a rising wedge pattern with a successful bullish breakout; right
below the upper line is a decent exit point just in case there is any pullback which
$AMD might eventually encounter. In
conclusion, I am long $AMD since $4.06 with a strong bullish forethought.
Alexander Schachter
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