Feb 27, 2013

Swing Trade Setup with Fib Retracements & Dragonfly Doji (NASDAQ:FB) Facebook Inc.

Here is an interesting stock chart I created. 

Since November 2012 $FB has been following a uniformed pattern. I included the Fibonacci Retracements to better identify these various levels. In a 60min time frame the stock looks very bearish by continuously reaching lower lows. But for today I will uniquely emphasize on a daily time frame, and the strong retracements between the 32.34% and 50% levels (dollar amount: $32.34 and $24.95); these are excellent buy/sell opportunities. Now let’s take a look at the last candle which bounced from the %38.20 support level, closing the session as a Dragonfly Doji. This is a bullish reversal candle that is worth considering when appearing during a decline.  50% of the time it’s a confirmed reversal that represents as well indecision because of its lower shadow. In this situation I would wait for day two to confirm the signal, expecting green candles with larger bodies. I think $FB short term might be bullish, but I wouldn’t be sure about the upcoming weeks. Lastly, I included the MACD because of two main reasons: (1) the negative divergence that impacted the trend, and (2) the crossover of the centerline of the histogram.

Alexander Schachter

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